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Tarp for Main Street – It’s going to have to be a people’s generated movement [New]

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The Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac conservator, since the crash of 2008, the Federal Home Finance Administration (FHFA) took action on September 2 and filed a lawsuit against the big banks and named individuals for billions of dollars in alleged securities fraud.  This appeals to my sense of justice for the economic meltdown and financial pain spread throughout our land, and it appeals to plenty of people’s sense of justice, or not – some are downright skeptical, as in the #8 thing you should know about this suit from the linked Alternet article.  Nevertheless, there is optimism that the FHFA could actually win the suit if it went to court.  Still, it is essentially a full employment lawyers act and not really in the best interests of the  economy: “Whatever the lawsuit’s merit, it will erode banks’ profits and capital and their capacity to lend.”

On the other hand, there is a modest proposal out there to put U.S. homeowners, the housing industry, and by extension, the American economy back on stable footing. It is a simple, elegant, straightforward plan expressed in a nine-page document, which you can download easily.

The New Bottom Line is a national campaign to persuade the banks to write down, or modify, all underwater mortgages to current market value, that’s principal and interest.

Here are some facts & figures from the plan:  By writing down all underwater mortgages to market value, the nation’s banks could:

  • Pump $71 billion into the economy every year:  in New York state the annual stimulus would equal $1.25 billion; in Ohio, $1.64 billion; in Florida, a staggering $12 billion [where the most foreclosures are]
  • Create more than one million jobs annually: In Massachusetts this would create over 35,000 jobs; in Illinois nearly 43,000 jobs; in California, over 300,000 jobs
  • Save families an average $543 per month on their mortgage payments;
  • Help investors come out ahead compared with the negative financial impact of foreclosures
  • Fix the foreclosure crisis once and for all.

If you think the New Bottom Line is overestimating the impact on the economy of fixing the home foreclosure crisis, consider that in 2005, according to The Economist, “over the past four years, [that’s 2001 -2005] consumer spending and residential construction have together accounted for 90% of the total growth in GDP.  And over two-fifths of all private-sector jobs created since 2001 have been in housing-related sectors, such as construction, real estate and mortgage broking.”

The New Bottom Line is a coalition of community organizations, faith-based congregations, labor unions, and individuals from across the country.  Coalition members are rallying their people to participate in planned direct actions in cities across the country. Under the Press Room tab on their web site there is a schedule of actions at the bottom of the Media Advisory dated for Sept. 20.  Actions that target primarily JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America and Wells Fargo, are planned beginning Sept. 20 in Seattle to Nov. 5 in Honolulu. During this time frame actions are planned in San Francisco, Boston, Los Angeles, Chicago, New York City, Minneapolis, and Denver.

The banks can afford to write down all underwater mortgages. “US banks are currently sitting on a historically high level of case reserves of $1.64 trillion.  Under this proposal they would only be forgoing $71 billion in payments annually…  In 2010, the nation’s top six banks alone paid out more than twice that figure in bonuses and compensation ($146 billion),” according to the New Bottom Line’s nine-page plan.

The plan is not getting any attention in the mainstream media, of course, but even the blogosphere is somewhat sparse on it.  In a google search of “new bottom line” I found it mentioned on only a  few occasions back in August on major blogs – on Firedoglake (in two posts), rortybomb, and Daily Kos here, here, and here, and here, respectively.  On Daily Kos the plan was included in a more general post by Mike Lux titled The Church of Progress.  Another Daily Kos blog linked to the plan as it was mentioned indirectly by  Emptywheel in a blog about how the Obama administration is thwarting New York AG Eric Schneiderman’s attempts to hold banks accountable for mortgage fraud.  An article on Alternet in late August also mentions  the New Bottom Line, and provides a link to the plan, in an article titled: Longer Weekends and Higher Wages? 5 Surprising Ways That Would Help Improve the Economy – mortgage write-downs is one of the five ways we could help the economy and make our lives better.  In a May 4 article, Foreclosed Homeowners Vent Anger at Wells Fargo, Alternet documented the launch of the New Bottom Line campaign in San Francisco, but does not provide a link to the New Bottom Line web site or the plan. The nine-page plan is also posted at Showdown in America.org.

If this movement succeeds in organizing enough people and making an impact it could finally put into play a Tarp for Main Street – something our elected officials have been unable and unwilling to do.  So there is the question – Why do we need to generate a movement to put the New Bottom Line’s ideas into action?  Well, I guess we know the answer to that – a solution that benefits the people doesn’t play in the oligarchy.

Cramdown legislation that would have allowed bankruptcy judges to modify mortgages by reducing principal, lowering  interest rates and/or extending loan terms passed the House in early March 2009, but was defeated in the Senate.  The legislation was opposed by the financial services industry because it would “destabilize home prices” and “raise mortgage borrowing costs for everyone.” Right…more likely, the legislation threatened their expected profit margins, but they didn’t and won’t say that.

HARP (Home Affordable Refinance Program) is the federal government’s so far not very successful two-year old program at  Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.  According to Bloomberg news, the HARP program launched in March 2009 was extended twice and is now set to expire in June 2012.  The Obama administration predicted it would help up to five million homeowners.  As of June, there are fewer than 840,000 homeowners enrolled in the program.  HARP has been  limited to borrowers who are underwater in homes worth up to 125 percent of their value, meaning eligibility is limited to homes worth 25 percent less than market value.  Homeowners who owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth are “underwater,” and this is the major reason people default on their mortgages.

I couldn’t find online an average of how many homeowners might be over 25 percent underwater, but as of June nationwide 10.9 million people or “22.7 percent of all residential properties with a mortgage were in negative equity at the end of the first quarter of 2011.” In an article August 16, Bloomberg says, “Banks have avoided participating [in HARP] because such loans are more likely to default.” Now they’re worried about lending to homeowners who went “underwater” due to the boom years when investors and the banks weren’t concerned and approved mortgage loans for just about anybody – borrowers with no down payments and questionable sources of income (the subprime lenders and borrowers).

Now we have a lawsuit by Fannie and Freddie because taxpayers, meaning you and me – not the investors and bankers –  are footing the bill.  According to Bloomberg news June 2010, “Fannie and Freddie, now 80 percent owned by U.S. taxpayers, already have drawn $145 billion from an unlimited line of government credit granted to ensure that home buyers can get loans while the private housing-finance industry is moribund. That surpasses the amount spent on rescues of American
International Group Inc
., General Motors Co. or Citigroup Inc., which have begun repaying their debts. ‘It is the mother of all bailouts,’ said Edward Pinto, a former chief credit officer at Fannie Mae, who is now a consultant to the mortgage-finance
industry.

So, Obama proposed, quite timidly and briefly in his much heralded “jobs speech” on Sept. 8: “We’re going to work with federal housing agencies to help more people refinance their mortgages at interest rates that are now near 4 percent. … That’s a step that can put more than $2,000 a year in a family’s pocket, and give a lift to an economy still burdened by the drop in housing prices.”

Keeping in mind that Fannie & Freddie, created by Congress in 1938 and 1970, respectively, are independent companies that use the full faith and credit of the federal government to guarantee mortgages and mortgage backed securities, Bloomberg news had this to say following Obama’s speech: “Some staff members of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have expressed concerns about easing rules to make refinancing more accessible because a wave of repayments of the old, high-interest loans would reduce the value of the securities into which they are bundled. Investors would be forced to reinvest the cash that gets returned into lower-yielding securities, according to a person briefed on the discussions within the mortgage firms.

That would harm the big institutional investors who own most of the securities and make up the most important customers of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the person said.”

Well, we wouldn’t want to harm the big institutional investors, would we?

BlahEhMmmmInterestingFantabulous!
 

What Do You Think?

8 Responses to 'Tarp for Main Street – It’s going to have to be a people’s generated movement'

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  1. John [New]

    Wednesday, 21 Sep, 2011 at 4:05 am

    The legislation was opposed by the financial services industry because it would “destabilize home prices” and “raise mortgage borrowing costs for everyone.”

    I don’t know about the raising mortgage costs bit, but how could housing prices be any more destabilized than they are now. Let’s try something. We seem to have hit bottom but the bottom keeps dropping lower.

    I would really like to see the banks compelled to do something with that $1.64 trillion. We saved their asses and now it’s time for them to ante up.

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    • Oh yeah, those two quotes are stock answers the banks and financiers can give to just about any proposal that might make them accountable for the mess they have made. Stock answers as in deflect away from us, it’s not our problem. It’s the economy..it’s the president, it’s congress, etc.

      One page in the New Bottom Line report is titled: Doing Right By Investors. In one page the report explains succintly and straightforwardly how it would be very much in the long term interests of banks and investors to resolve underwater mortgages by reducing principal.

      Way contrary to these two quotes, NBL’s solution of writing down mortgages to current market value would stabilize the housing market and establish a floor on the value of mortgage backed securities.

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  2. Tim [New]

    Wednesday, 21 Sep, 2011 at 4:26 am

    This is similar to something I tried to push, in vain, several years ago after going through foreclosure ourselves. Except it would be in the form of a rider added to all existing and future mortgages that would allow the homeowner to trigger this reset under certain conditions (e.g. home price drops some large percentage in some number of years). The principal would be reset in a way that gives the homeowner half their down payment (so they have skin in the game) and splits any future upside between the mortgage holder and the homeowner, with the split changing in the homeowner’s favor if the future home sale price was greater than some amount (e.g. original mortgage value plus 10%).

    This plan is brute force. Politically you also would have to use brute force because there’s really no leverage otherwise. If you split the upside as you reset the mortgage, then you have leverage (banks and investors can then calculate future expectations of revenue). And there’s nothing in here about what equity homeowners will have once the mortgage is reset (some? none?). (The key data point for me is that banks gave out $146 billion in bonuses in 2010 while this program would cost $71 billion: that’s rich.)

    In our case, there clearly was no law against acting stupid. We found a buyer willing to pay current market price but the investor waited until the last minute to say no, and then claimed the home price was much higher, only to sell a few weeks later to an investor (not a family like the buyer we had found) for the price we had originally agreed on with our buyer. My hunch was that the investor in our mortgage had an economic interest to go through foreclosure: their lawyer was on retainer, all the paperwork was done in-house, and they had an existing deal with the investor they sold the house to. That’s really the dynamic you have to break.

    In many of these cases, there is zero incentive to do anything but foreclose. I don’t know if this program will change those incentives. And it relies heavily on political pressure which may or may not appear. While I strongly support this sort of program, sadly I’m not holding my breath.

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    • I disagree on your point that the plan (I’m assuming you’re talking about the New Bottom Line plan) has no leverage.

      There’s plenty of leverage – banks are getting their asses sued off, not just by FHFA, but by lots of other investors (AIG is suing BofA, for example…they’re all suing each other). If the NBL plan was put into play I don’t think it would make the suits go away, after all these are cases about losses on mortgage backed securities (MBS) circa 2008. However, it seems to me if the banks were doing something to stanch the losses – ie, writing down principal and refinancing at lower rates to prevent foreclosures, this upholds the value of the MBS. That would be a negotiating point.

      I would also call your attention to the one-pager in the NBL report titled, Doing Right by Investors. There’s financial incentive for both bankers and investors to solve the foreclosure mess out of court and put some of the lost value into people’s pockets.

      Your personal experience with investors and lawyers seems to confirm they don’t do things logically. They’re always looking for the side bet, working the deal for whatever they think they can get.

      Your point about equity is a good one. That doesn’t seem to be addressed in the NBL.

      First, though, we have to get the banks to own this one.

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  3. Sadie Baker [New]

    Wednesday, 21 Sep, 2011 at 7:48 pm

    It’s on!!!

    https://occupywallst.org/

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    • Yeah, here’s a sobering diary from Firedoglake about someone’s experience at the Wall St. action:
      http://my.firedoglake.com/freeman/2011/09/23/my-observations-while-at-the-wall-street-occupation/

      Here is the conclusion:
      “My question is are we going to bring working men and women, union members , people of color, religious congregations , other political groups and older statesmen into the fray or can we expect only the youth to carry the standard without clear talking points and a thorough understanding of the issues to present our reasons for attending ?”

      I aim to write more about what is wrong with our activism today, or , why isn’t our activism making any inroads, when we surely have legitimate gripes that are shared by a majority of the people.

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  4. Check out the Wall Street action one week in:
    http://dissenter.firedoglake.com/2011/09/24/live-blog-of-occupywallstreet-one-week-later-growing-stronger-by-the-day/
    Things are heating up rather than slowing down. They’re estimating 5-10K marchers today. There are reports that the Teamsters have joined the march and NYFD supports it. Marchers are blocking streets and some are getting arrested and shoved by police.

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    • Tim [New]

      Saturday, 24 Sep, 2011 at 7:39 pm

      Interesting. I work down there some times and it’s been a very Twilight experience. You can’t get into the back entrance of our building for the police barricades of side streets. Nor can you walk up Broad Street without being shoved like cattle off to east/west side streets. But I didn’t see any protesters. Only police and barricades.

      It does raise the issue of what will get people motivated to rise up. When I ask people if they’re happy with the economic status quo, no one says yes, regardless of their political affiliation. And with Bloomberg on in the office, with all the blather about concern about the economy and a possible recession, no one is surprised: the problem is lack of consumer demand which, in turn, is caused by no jobs programs and decades of suppressed wages (and monopolies, among other things). I hear this from all sorts of people, regardless of party.

      But it doesn’t translate into action. Weird.

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